Call me crazy, but even in the face of some sweet flashback formats like Innistrad: Midnight Hunt and Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty, I still find myself clicking on the Alchemy Horizons: Baldur’s Gate draft queues when I turn on MTGA. One of the reasons I’m still drawn to this set is that despite being it being out for a month and pick orders mostly stabilizing, I feel there’s still quite an edge to be gained from taking advantage of some community-wide card misevaluations
Today, I want to talk about Baldur’s Gate’s most underrated and most overrated cards so that you too can get an edge in your next draft! I’m mostly going to be speaking from experience when talking about how well I’ve found a card to perform and how late I see some of these cards in packs but will also be referencing 17lands.com data to provide a bit of context.
For those not familiar with parsing 17lands data, let me give you a quick run down of some of the numbers we’ll be using today. The metric I’ll mostly be referring to is ATA (average pick taken at.)
I’ll also be using aggregate GIH WR (Games in hand win-rate, aka, was this card in my hand at any point in the game) as a metric to contextualize the strength of the cards. While this is often the least biased and more all-encompassing metric we use when looking at cards, I do want to caveat at this is aggregate data amongst all archetypes and filtering cards by color pairs often gives you better insights into where a card shines or underperforms.